Chicago Bears rose to 1639; Seattle Seahawks fell to 1608. Read more →
Atlanta Falcons
Current Elo 1457. Rating after every game since 2020; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 19%, division 18%, title 0%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Cooper Rush started last time out. Elo's quarterback adjustment for the Falcons is now +28 points on Bengals at Falcons. Read more →
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 8. The Buccaneers won 16 to 0; the game turned on M.Penix pass short right intended for D.London INTERCEPTED by A.Anzalone at ATL 41. A.Anza. Attendance 61,036. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3–5 | 1457 | 1493 | Cooper Rush, Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr. |
| 2025 | 8–9 | 1453 | 1494 | Michael Penix Jr., Kirk Cousins |
| 2024 | 8–9 | 1392 | 1467 | Kirk Cousins, Michael Penix Jr. |
| 2023 | 7–10 | 1407 | 1473 | Desmond Ridder, Taylor Heinicke |
| 2022 | 7–10 | 1441 | 1490 | Marcus Mariota, Desmond Ridder |
| 2021 | 7–10 | 1403 | 1453 | Matt Ryan |
| 2020 | 4–12 | 1474 | 1536 | Matt Ryan |