Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
Miami Dolphins
Current Elo 1369. Rating after every game since 1990; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 0%, division 0%, title 0%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Since Saturday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Lions at Dolphins, 6 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%). Read more →
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins, Week 8. The Patriots won 24 to 19; the game turned on (Shotgun) D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to K.Williams (M.Taaffe).New England challenge. Attendance 59,023. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1–6 | 1369 | 1440 | Malik Willis |
| 2025 | 7–10 | 1440 | 1492 | Tua Tagovailoa, Quinn Ewers |
| 2024 | 8–9 | 1496 | 1536 | Tua Tagovailoa, Skylar Thompson, Tyler Huntley |
| 2023 | 11–6 | 1546 | 1605 | Tua Tagovailoa |
| 2022 | 9–8 | 1493 | 1591 | Tua Tagovailoa, Teddy Bridgewater, Skylar Thompson |
| 2021 | 9–8 | 1557 | 1562 | Tua Tagovailoa, Jacoby Brissett |
| 2020 | 10–6 | 1546 | 1563 | Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tua Tagovailoa |
| 2019 | 5–11 | 1368 | 1387 | Ryan Fitzpatrick, Josh Rosen |
| 2018 | 7–9 | 1370 | 1511 | Ryan Tannehill, Brock Osweiler |
| 2017 | 6–10 | 1422 | 1519 | Jay Cutler, Matt Moore |
| 2016 | 10–6 | 1510 | 1546 | Ryan Tannehill, Matt Moore |
| 2015 | 6–10 | 1406 | 1501 | Ryan Tannehill |
| 2014 | 8–8 | 1473 | 1554 | Ryan Tannehill |
| 2013 | 8–8 | 1471 | 1552 | Ryan Tannehill |
| 2012 | 7–9 | 1470 | 1542 | Ryan Tannehill |
| 2011 | 6–10 | 1495 | 1506 | Chad Henne, Matt Moore |
| 2010 | 7–9 | 1465 | 1531 | Chad Henne, Chad Pennington, Tyler Thigpen |
| 2009 | 7–9 | 1471 | 1534 | Chad Pennington, Chad Henne |
| 2008 | 11–5 | 1519 | 1545 | Chad Pennington |
| 2007 | 1–15 | 1296 | 1477 | Trent Green, Cleo Lemon, John Beck |
| 2006 | 6–10 | 1482 | 1532 | Daunte Culpepper, Joey Harrington, Cleo Lemon |
| 2005 | 9–7 | 1515 | 1515 | Gus Frerotte, Sage Rosenfels |
| 2004 | 4–12 | 1439 | 1545 | Jay Fiedler, A.J. Feeley, Sage Rosenfels |
| 2003 | 10–6 | 1604 | 1617 | Jay Fiedler, Brian Griese |
| 2002 | 9–7 | 1541 | 1599 | Jay Fiedler, Ray Lucas |
| 2001 | 11–5 | 1551 | 1617 | Jay Fiedler |
| 2000 | 11–5 | 1600 | 1642 | Jay Fiedler, Damon Huard |
| 1999 | 9–7 | 1511 | 1638 | Dan Marino, Damon Huard |
| 1998 | 10–6 | 1572 | 1591 | Dan Marino |
| 1997 | 9–7 | 1496 | 1579 | Dan Marino |
| 1996 | 8–8 | 1484 | 1572 | Dan Marino, Craig Erickson |
| 1995 | 9–7 | 1532 | 1631 | Dan Marino, Bernie Kosar |
| 1994 | 10–6 | 1574 | 1586 | Dan Marino |
| 1993 | 9–7 | 1501 | 1626 | Dan Marino, Scott Mitchell, Steve DeBerg |
| 1992 | 11–5 | 1556 | 1610 | Dan Marino |
| 1991 | 8–8 | 1496 | 1567 | Dan Marino |
| 1990 | 12–4 | 1593 | 1618 | Dan Marino |