Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
Miami Dolphins
Current Elo 1369. Rating after every game since 2020; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 0%, division 0%, title 0%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Since Saturday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Lions at Dolphins, 6 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%). Read more →
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins, Week 8. The Patriots won 24 to 19; the game turned on (Shotgun) D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to K.Williams (M.Taaffe).New England challenge. Attendance 59,023. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1–6 | 1369 | 1440 | Malik Willis |
| 2025 | 7–10 | 1440 | 1492 | Tua Tagovailoa, Quinn Ewers |
| 2024 | 8–9 | 1496 | 1536 | Tua Tagovailoa, Skylar Thompson, Tyler Huntley |
| 2023 | 11–6 | 1546 | 1605 | Tua Tagovailoa |
| 2022 | 9–8 | 1493 | 1591 | Tua Tagovailoa, Teddy Bridgewater, Skylar Thompson |
| 2021 | 9–8 | 1557 | 1562 | Tua Tagovailoa, Jacoby Brissett |
| 2020 | 10–6 | 1546 | 1563 | Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tua Tagovailoa |