The Report · data-driven NFL insights, delivered every morning

← Ratings

Washington Commanders

Current Elo 1443. Rating after every game since 1970; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.

Washington Commanders Elo since 1970125013001350140014501500155016001650170017501800185019701978198619942002201020182026avg 1505DanielsMariotaDanielsMariotaDanielsMariotaDanielsMariotaDanielsMariotaJohnsonDanielsMariotaDaniels

Playoff odds this season

Now: playoffs 23%, division 22%, title 0%. One point per day the simulation ran.

Playoff probabilityWSH playoff oddsSep 18, 8 PM ET: 24%Sep 19, 8 PM ET: 23%Sep 20, 8 PM ET: 8%Sep 21, 8 PM ET: 9%Sep 22, 8 PM ET: 9%Sep 23, 8 PM ET: 9%Sep 24, 8 PM ET: 8%Sep 25, 8 PM ET: 9%Sep 26, 8 PM ET: 19%Sep 27, 8 PM ET: 20%Sep 28, 8 PM ET: 23%Sep 29, 8 PM ET: 23%Sep 30, 8 PM ET: 22%Oct 1, 8 PM ET: 22%Oct 2, 8 PM ET: 22%Oct 3, 8 PM ET: 1%Oct 4, 8 PM ET: 1%Oct 5, 8 PM ET: 2%Oct 6, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 7, 8 PM ET: 9%Oct 8, 8 PM ET: 12%Oct 9, 8 PM ET: 11%Oct 10, 8 PM ET: 12%Oct 11, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 12, 8 PM ET: 11%Oct 13, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 14, 8 PM ET: 13%Oct 15, 8 PM ET: 11%Oct 16, 8 PM ET: 13%Oct 17, 8 PM ET: 12%Oct 18, 8 PM ET: 19%Oct 19, 8 PM ET: 16%Oct 20, 8 PM ET: 16%Oct 21, 8 PM ET: 18%Oct 22, 8 PM ET: 17%Oct 23, 8 PM ET: 16%Oct 24, 8 PM ET: 12%Oct 25, 8 PM ET: 12%Oct 26, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 27, 8 PM ET: 9%Oct 28, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 29, 8 PM ET: 9%Oct 30, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 31, 8 PM ET: 13%Nov 1, 7 PM ET: 21%Nov 2, 7 PM ET: 23%

On the Wire

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders, Week 8. The Commanders won 27 to 10; the game turned on (Shotgun) T.McKee sacked at WAS 44 for -7 yards (D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (D.Armstrong), RECO. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →

Seasons

SeasonRecordEnd EloPeakQuarterbacks
20262–4–114431467Jayden Daniels, Marcus Mariota
20255–1214441576Jayden Daniels, Marcus Mariota, Josh Johnson
202412–515881602Jayden Daniels, Marcus Mariota
20234–1313261521Sam Howell
20228–8–114851515Carson Wentz, Taylor Heinicke, Sam Howell
20217–1014451486Ryan Fitzpatrick, Taylor Heinicke, Garrett Gilbert
20207–914421482Dwayne Haskins, Kyle Allen, Alex Smith
20193–1313001433Case Keenum, Colt McCoy, Dwayne Haskins
20187–914091523Alex Smith, Colt McCoy, Mark Sanchez
20177–914551526Kirk Cousins
20168–7–115041548Kirk Cousins
20159–714921519Kirk Cousins
20144–1213051403Robert Griffin, Kirk Cousins, Colt McCoy
20133–1313471490Robert Griffin, Kirk Cousins
201210–615301553Robert Griffin, Kirk Cousins
20115–1113781482Rex Grossman, John Beck
20106–1014021471Donovan McNabb, Rex Grossman
20094–1213931489Jason Campbell
20088–814901586Jason Campbell
20079–715451572Jason Campbell, Todd Collins
20065–1114211545Mark Brunell, Jason Campbell
200510–615781594Patrick Ramsey, Mark Brunell
20046–1014361457Mark Brunell, Patrick Ramsey
20035–1114011507Patrick Ramsey, Tim Hasselbeck
20027–914621530Shane Matthews, Danny Wuerffel, Patrick Ramsey
20018–815251531Jeff George, Tony Banks
20008–815131614Brad Johnson, Jeff George
199910–615541567Brad Johnson
19986–1014631500Gus Frerotte, Trent Green
19978–7–115201582Gus Frerotte, Jeff Hostetler
19969–715301581Gus Frerotte
19956–1014341449Heath Shuler, Gus Frerotte
19943–1313701458John Friesz, Heath Shuler, Gus Frerotte
19934–1214391629Mark Rypien, Cary Conklin, Rich Gannon
19929–716421688Mark Rypien
199114–217761776Mark Rypien
199010–616181634Mark Rypien, Stan Humphries, Jeff Rutledge
198910–615871587Mark Rypien, Doug Williams
19887–915031649Doug Williams, Mark Rypien
198711–417291729Jay Schroeder, Doug Williams, Ed Rubbert
198612–416791698Jay Schroeder
198510–615931593Joe Theismann, Jay Schroeder
198411–516281690Joe Theismann
198314–217521800Joe Theismann
19828–116891689Joe Theismann
19818–815151515Joe Theismann
19806–1014931525Joe Theismann, Mike Kruczek
197910–615641573Joe Theismann
19788–814521627Joe Theismann, Billy Kilmer
19779–515731584Billy Kilmer, Joe Theismann
197610–415961612Billy Kilmer, Joe Theismann
19758–615321630Billy Kilmer, Randy Johnson
197410–416391661Billy Kilmer, Sonny Jurgensen
197310–416221662Billy Kilmer, Sonny Jurgensen
197211–316641705Billy Kilmer, Sonny Jurgensen
19719–4–115691615Billy Kilmer, Sonny Jurgensen
19706–814741544Sonny Jurgensen