The Report · data-driven NFL insights, delivered every morning

← Ratings

Washington Commanders

Current Elo 1443. Rating after every game since 2010; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.

Washington Commanders Elo since 2010125013001350140014501500155016001650201020132016201920222025avg 1505DanielsMariotaDanielsMariotaDanielsMariotaDanielsMariotaDanielsMariotaJohnsonDanielsMariotaDaniels

Playoff odds this season

Now: playoffs 23%, division 22%, title 0%. One point per day the simulation ran.

Playoff probabilityWSH playoff oddsSep 18, 8 PM ET: 24%Sep 19, 8 PM ET: 23%Sep 20, 8 PM ET: 8%Sep 21, 8 PM ET: 9%Sep 22, 8 PM ET: 9%Sep 23, 8 PM ET: 9%Sep 24, 8 PM ET: 8%Sep 25, 8 PM ET: 9%Sep 26, 8 PM ET: 19%Sep 27, 8 PM ET: 20%Sep 28, 8 PM ET: 23%Sep 29, 8 PM ET: 23%Sep 30, 8 PM ET: 22%Oct 1, 8 PM ET: 22%Oct 2, 8 PM ET: 22%Oct 3, 8 PM ET: 1%Oct 4, 8 PM ET: 1%Oct 5, 8 PM ET: 2%Oct 6, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 7, 8 PM ET: 9%Oct 8, 8 PM ET: 12%Oct 9, 8 PM ET: 11%Oct 10, 8 PM ET: 12%Oct 11, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 12, 8 PM ET: 11%Oct 13, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 14, 8 PM ET: 13%Oct 15, 8 PM ET: 11%Oct 16, 8 PM ET: 13%Oct 17, 8 PM ET: 12%Oct 18, 8 PM ET: 19%Oct 19, 8 PM ET: 16%Oct 20, 8 PM ET: 16%Oct 21, 8 PM ET: 18%Oct 22, 8 PM ET: 17%Oct 23, 8 PM ET: 16%Oct 24, 8 PM ET: 12%Oct 25, 8 PM ET: 12%Oct 26, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 27, 8 PM ET: 9%Oct 28, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 29, 8 PM ET: 9%Oct 30, 8 PM ET: 10%Oct 31, 8 PM ET: 13%Nov 1, 7 PM ET: 21%Nov 2, 7 PM ET: 23%

On the Wire

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders, Week 8. The Commanders won 27 to 10; the game turned on (Shotgun) T.McKee sacked at WAS 44 for -7 yards (D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (D.Armstrong), RECO. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →

Seasons

SeasonRecordEnd EloPeakQuarterbacks
20262–4–114431467Jayden Daniels, Marcus Mariota
20255–1214441576Jayden Daniels, Marcus Mariota, Josh Johnson
202412–515881602Jayden Daniels, Marcus Mariota
20234–1313261521Sam Howell
20228–8–114851515Carson Wentz, Taylor Heinicke, Sam Howell
20217–1014451486Ryan Fitzpatrick, Taylor Heinicke, Garrett Gilbert
20207–914421482Dwayne Haskins, Kyle Allen, Alex Smith
20193–1313001433Case Keenum, Colt McCoy, Dwayne Haskins
20187–914091523Alex Smith, Colt McCoy, Mark Sanchez
20177–914551526Kirk Cousins
20168–7–115041548Kirk Cousins
20159–714921519Kirk Cousins
20144–1213051403Robert Griffin, Kirk Cousins, Colt McCoy
20133–1313471490Robert Griffin, Kirk Cousins
201210–615301553Robert Griffin, Kirk Cousins
20115–1113781482Rex Grossman, John Beck
20106–1014021471Donovan McNabb, Rex Grossman