Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles
Final, recorded 3 h ago · this page re-reads every 15 min while open
Week 1, 2026 · Sunday, Sep 13, 8:25 PM · outdoors
Washington Commanders0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+17)
22–24
Philadelphia Eagles
1–0 · Elo 1539 · Jalen Hurts (+19) · Home
Final: WSH 22, PHI 24. Elo moved PHI 1532 → 1539 and WSH 1474 → 1467.
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | PHI | WSH | Points earned | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | PHI 65% | 65% | 35% | +12.8 | PHI 1532 vs WSH 1474, implied spread PHI −4.3 |
| Closing spread | PHI 67% | 67% | 33% | +14.1 | PHI -6 |
| The blend | PHI 69% | 69% | 31% | +15.4 |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Philadelphia Eagles over the Commanders: Elo 65%, market 67%. Tight agreement: go above both. Hurts is worth 19 Elo; Daniels is worth 17 Elo.
Details
- Rest: PHI 7 days, WSH 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: PHI +19 (Jalen Hurts), WSH +17 (Jayden Daniels). How that works.
- Weather. No forecast was recorded for this game.
Line movement
No market prices were recorded before this game.