Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 12, 2026 · Thursday, Nov 26, 6:00 PM · dome
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | DET | CHI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | DET 51% | 51% | 49% | DET 1519 vs CHI 1557, implied spread DET −0.4 |
| Closing spread | DET 57% | 57% | 43% | DET -2.5 |
| The blend | DET 56% | 56% | 44% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Detroit Lions over the Bears: Elo 51%, market 57%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine.
Details
- Rest: DET 4 days, CHI 4 days.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.