Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
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Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 15, 2026 · U.S. Bank Stadium · Sunday, Dec 20, 8:20 PM ET · dome
Detroit Lions5–2 · Elo 1569 · Jared Goff
Minnesota Vikings
6–1 · Elo 1584 · Kyler Murray (+100 Elo) · off a bye · Home
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | MIN | DET | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | MIN 75% | 75% | 25% | MIN 1584 vs DET 1569, implied spread MIN −7.5 |
| The blend | MIN 75% | 75% | 25% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: MIN 10 days, DET 7 days. MIN off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterbacks. MIN: Kyler Murray (+100 Elo). DET: Jared Goff (0 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | Jimmy Rolder | LB | Out | Hamstring · Rolder will miss the remainder of the season due to a hamstring injury, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. |
| DET | Kerby Joseph | S | Out | Knee · Joseph (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Vikings. |
| DET | Jack Campbell | LB | Doubtful | Neck · The Lions announced Monday that "preliminary indications are positive" for Campbell (neck), who continues to rest and recover at a Detroit-area hospital. |
| DET | Brian Branch | S | Questionable | Concussion · Branch (concussion) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Vikings. |
| DET | Cade Mays | C | Questionable | Ankle · Mays sustained a low ankle sprain during Detroit's win over the Vikings on Sunday, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN reports. |
| DET | D.J. Reed | CB | Questionable | Hip · Reed (hip) is not expected to practice Wednesday, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. |
| DET | DJ Wonnum | LB | Questionable | Concussion · Wonnum (concussion) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Vikings. |
| DET | Jacob Saylors | RB | Questionable | Neck · Saylors (neck) is not expected to practice Wednesday, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. |
| MIN | Christian Darrisaw | OT | Questionable | Shoulder · questionable |
| MIN | Kyler Murray | QB | Questionable | Hamstring · Murray (hamstring), who is dealing with a sore hamstring, is undergoing a full evaluation to determine the extent of the issue, Alec Lewis of The Athletic reports. |
| MIN | Theo Jackson | S | Questionable | Quadriceps · Jackson (quadriceps) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Lions. |
On the Wire
Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
AFC East: Bills 5-1. AFC North: Browns 5-2. AFC South: Jaguars 4-2. AFC West: Chiefs 5-1. NFC East: Giants 4-2-1. NFC North: Vikings 6-0. NFC South: Panthers 3-3. NFC West: 49ers 6-1. Unbeaten: Vikings. Winless: Chargers. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.