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Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers

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Week 15, 2026 · Lambeau Field · Sunday, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET · outdoors

Miami Dolphins
1–6 · Elo 1369 · Malik Willis (+90 Elo)
Elo: GB 67%
Green Bay Packers
5–3 · Elo 1533 · Jordan Love · Home

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MIAGB
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What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsGBMIANote
EloGB 67%67%33%GB 1533 vs MIA 1369, implied spread GB −4.9
The blendGB 67%67%33%

The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.

The spot: Everything else

Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.

No market line yet.

Details

Injury report

ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.

TeamPlayerPosStatusInjury
MIAKadyn ProctorOTOutConcussion · out
MIAMalik HerringDEQuestionableUndisclosed · Herring (neck) is questionable to return to Sunday's contest against New England.
GBDonovan JenningsGOutCoach's Decision · inactive
GBJonnu SmithTEOutCoach's Decision · Smith (coach's decision) is inactive for Thursday's game against the Panthers Mike Spofford of the team's official site reports.
GBKaleb JohnsonRBOutCoach's Decision · Johnson (coach's decision) is inactive for Thursday's game against the Panthers, Mike Spofford of the team's official site reports.
GBMicah ParsonsDEOutKnee - ACL · Head coach Matt LaFleur said Monday that the Packers' "intention" is for Parsons (knee) to resume practicing in Week 9, Weston Hodkiewicz of the team's official site reports. "It's gonna be a process trying to get him back," LaFleur said. "We're hopeful he'll be able to get out there sometime this week."
GBSean RhyanGOutAnkle · inactive
GBTravis GloverOTOutKnee · inactive
GBZaire FranklinLBOutShin · inactive
GBChristian WatsonWRQuestionableRibs · Packers passing game coordinator Jason Vrable said Monday that Watson (ribs) is sore but "doing great," Matt Schneidman of The Athletic reports.

On the Wire

Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →

Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →

Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →

Line movement

No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.