Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
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New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 15, 2026 · Raymond James Stadium · Sunday, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET · outdoors
New Orleans Saints2–5 · Elo 1451 · Tyler Shough (−16 Elo)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3–5 · Elo 1523 · Baker Mayfield · Home
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | TB | NO | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | TB 69% | 69% | 31% | TB 1523 vs NO 1451, implied spread TB −5.5 |
| The blend | TB 69% | 69% | 31% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: TB 7 days, NO 7 days.
- Quarterbacks. TB: Baker Mayfield (0 Elo). NO: Tyler Shough (-16 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Cesar Ruiz | G | Questionable | Knee · questionable |
| NO | CJ Donaldson | RB | Questionable | Shoulder · Donaldson (shoulder) is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris. |
| NO | Justin Reid | S | Questionable | Concussion · Reid (concussion) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris. |
| NO | Nathan Shepherd | DT | Questionable | Illness · questionable |
| TB | Emeka Egbuka | WR | Out | Foot · out |
| TB | Yaya Diaby | LB | Out | Knee - MCL · Head coach Todd Bowles said that Diaby (knee) has been diagnosed with an MCL sprain and won't be available for Sunday's game against the Bears, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports. |
On the Wire
Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.