Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
← Back to Week 15 picks · Back to Week 15 predictions
Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles
Game data updated 2 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 15, 2026 · Lincoln Financial Field · Saturday, Dec 19, 5:00 PM ET · outdoors
Seattle Seahawks4–3 · Elo 1643 · Sam Darnold
Philadelphia Eagles
2–6 · Elo 1401 · Tanner McKee (−29 Elo) · Home
Make your pick
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SEAPHI
Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | PHI | SEA | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SEA 78% | 22% | 78% | PHI 1401 vs SEA 1643, implied spread PHI +8.8 |
| The blend | SEA 78% | 22% | 78% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: PHI 6 days, SEA 6 days.
- Quarterbacks. PHI: Tanner McKee (-29 Elo). SEA: Sam Darnold (-2 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Saturday.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Beau Stephens | G | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| SEA | Brandon Pili | DT | Out | Back · Pili (back) is inactive for Monday night's game against the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| SEA | Charles Cross | OT | Out | Ankle · inactive |
| SEA | Drew Lock | QB | Out | Elbow · Lock (coach's decision) is inactive for Monday's matchup with the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| SEA | Rashid Shaheed | WR | Out | Knee · inactive |
| SEA | Uchenna Nwosu | LB | Out | Ankle · Nwosu (ankle) is inactive for Monday's clash with the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| SEA | Velus Jones Jr. | RB | Out | Hamstring · inactive |
| PHI | Britain Covey | WR | Out | Knee · out |
| PHI | DeVonta Smith | WR | Out | Hamstring · out |
| PHI | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | Out | Ankle · out |
| PHI | Jihaad Campbell | LB | Out | Hamstring · out |
| PHI | Jonathan Jones | CB | Out | Hamstring · out |
| PHI | Michael Carter II | CB | Questionable | Abdomen · Carter (abdomen) is questionable to return to Sunday night's contest against the Commanders. |
On the Wire
Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.