Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
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Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 16, 2026 · Caesars Superdome · Sunday, Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET · dome
Arizona Cardinals3–5 · Elo 1439 · Gardner Minshew II (−87 Elo)
New Orleans Saints
2–5 · Elo 1451 · Tyler Shough (−16 Elo) · Home
Make your pick
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ARINO
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | NO | ARI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | NO 68% | 68% | 32% | NO 1451 vs ARI 1439, implied spread NO −5.2 |
| The blend | NO 68% | 68% | 32% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: NO 7 days, ARI 7 days.
- Quarterbacks. NO: Tyler Shough (-16 Elo). ARI: Gardner Minshew II (-87 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | Jon Gaines II | G | Out | Ankle · out |
| ARI | Kendrick Bourne | WR | Out | Lower Leg · Bourne suffered a fractured right tibia during Sunday's overtime win at Dallas that won't require surgery but will sideline him for three months, ending his 2026 season, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. |
| ARI | Walter Nolen III | DT | Out | Ankle · out |
| ARI | Bam Knight | RB | Questionable | Concussion · Head coach Mike LaFleur revealed Monday that Knight is in the concussion protocol following Sunday's overtime win in Dallas, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
| ARI | Jayden Williams | OT | Questionable | Knee · Williams (knee) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Cowboys, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports. |
| ARI | Jeremiyah Love | RB | Questionable | Ankle · Head coach Mike LaFleur said Monday that Love suffered a "new" ankle injury during Sunday's overtime win at Dallas, and that he'll have an update on the running back later this week, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
| ARI | Michael Wilson | WR | Questionable | Ribs · Wilson said after Sunday's 33-30 win at Dallas that he suffered two broken ribs during the contest, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
| NO | Cesar Ruiz | G | Questionable | Knee · questionable |
| NO | CJ Donaldson | RB | Questionable | Shoulder · Donaldson (shoulder) is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris. |
| NO | Justin Reid | S | Questionable | Concussion · Reid (concussion) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris. |
| NO | Nathan Shepherd | DT | Questionable | Illness · questionable |
On the Wire
Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.