Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles
Game data updated 1 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 16, 2026 · Friday, Dec 25, 1:15 AM · outdoors
Houston Texans0–1 · Elo 1556 · C.J. Stroud
Philadelphia Eagles
1–0 · Elo 1539 · Jalen Hurts (+17) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | PHI | HOU | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | PHI 57% | 57% | 43% | PHI 1539 vs HOU 1556, implied spread PHI −1.9 |
| Closing spread | PHI 57% | 57% | 43% | PHI -2.5 |
| The blend | PHI 59% | 59% | 41% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Philadelphia Eagles over the Texans: Elo 57%, market 57%. Tight agreement: go above both. Hurts is worth 17 Elo.
Details
- Rest: PHI 5 days, HOU 4 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: PHI +17 (Jalen Hurts), HOU +1 (C.J. Stroud). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Friday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.