Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
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Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings
Game data updated just now · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 16, 2026 · U.S. Bank Stadium · Sunday, Dec 27, 12:00 AM ET · dome
Washington Commanders2–4–1 · Elo 1443 · Jayden Daniels (+15 Elo)
Minnesota Vikings
6–1 · Elo 1584 · Kyler Murray (+100 Elo) · Home
Make your pick
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WSHMIN
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | MIN | WSH | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | MIN 83% | 83% | 17% | MIN 1584 vs WSH 1443, implied spread MIN −11.0 |
| The blend | MIN 83% | 83% | 17% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: MIN 7 days, WSH 7 days.
- Quarterbacks. MIN: Kyler Murray (+100 Elo). WSH: Jayden Daniels (+15 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | Daron Payne | DT | Out | Foot · out |
| WSH | Javon Kinlaw | DT | Out | Knee · out |
| WSH | Jeremy McNichols | RB | Doubtful | Foot · McNichols is getting additional opinions on the foot injury that he suffered Sunday against the Eagles, but there's an expectation that he'll miss multiple months, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports. |
| MIN | Christian Darrisaw | OT | Questionable | Shoulder · questionable |
| MIN | Kyler Murray | QB | Questionable | Hamstring · Murray (hamstring), who is dealing with a sore hamstring, is undergoing a full evaluation to determine the extent of the issue, Alec Lewis of The Athletic reports. |
| MIN | Theo Jackson | S | Questionable | Quadriceps · Jackson (quadriceps) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Lions. |
On the Wire
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
AFC East: Bills 5-1. AFC North: Browns 5-2. AFC South: Jaguars 4-2. AFC West: Chiefs 5-1. NFC East: Giants 4-2-1. NFC North: Vikings 6-0. NFC South: Panthers 3-3. NFC West: 49ers 6-1. Unbeaten: Vikings. Winless: Chargers. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.