Jaguars at Ravens $226k, Raiders at 49ers $61k, Packers at Patriots $35k traded on Kalshi and Polymarket. The exchanges and the books agree within four points everywhere. Read more →
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Denver Broncos at New England Patriots
Game data updated just now · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 17, 2026 · Gillette Stadium · Sunday, Jan 3, 12:00 AM ET · outdoors
Make your pick
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | NE | DEN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | NE 54% | 54% | 46% | NE 1599 vs DEN 1617, implied spread NE −1.2 |
| The blend | NE 54% | 54% | 46% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: NE 7 days, DEN 9 days.
- Quarterbacks. NE: Drake Maye (+1 Elo). DEN: Bo Nix (-1 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | Talanoa Hufanga | S | Out | Ankle · out |
| DEN | Brandon Jones | S | Questionable | Hamstring · Jones (hamstring) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's contest against the Chiefs, Parker Gabriel of The Denver Post reports. |
| DEN | Kris Abrams-Draine | CB | Questionable | Ankle · Abrams-Draine (ankle) is questionable to return to Sunday's contest versus the Chiefs, Parker Gabriel of The Denver Post reports. |
| NE | A.J. Brown | WR | Out | Ankle · When asked whether Brown (ankle/knee) might practice at some point this week, coach Mike Vrabel said Monday "We'll see," Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. |
| NE | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | Out | Illness · out |
| NE | Gabe Jacas | LB | Questionable | Knee · Jacas (knee) is questionable to return to Sunday's contest against Miami, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. |
| NE | Hunter Henry | TE | Questionable | Foot · Henry (foot) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game in Miami. |
On the Wire
Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
AFC East: Bills 6-1. AFC North: Steelers 6-2. AFC South: Jaguars 5-2. AFC West: Broncos 6-2. NFC East: Giants 4-2-1. NFC North: Vikings 6-1. NFC South: Panthers 3-4. NFC West: 49ers 6-1. Winless: Chargers. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.

