Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
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New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons
Game data updated just now · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 17, 2026 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Sunday, Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET · closed
New Orleans Saints2–5 · Elo 1451 · Tyler Shough (−16 Elo)
Atlanta Falcons
3–5 · Elo 1457 · Michael Penix Jr. (+28 Elo) · Home
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NOATL
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | ATL | NO | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | ATL 64% | 64% | 36% | ATL 1457 vs NO 1451, implied spread ATL −3.9 |
| The blend | ATL 64% | 64% | 36% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: ATL 7 days, NO 7 days.
- Quarterbacks. ATL: Michael Penix Jr. (+28 Elo). NO: Tyler Shough (-16 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Cesar Ruiz | G | Questionable | Knee · questionable |
| NO | CJ Donaldson | RB | Questionable | Shoulder · Donaldson (shoulder) is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris. |
| NO | Justin Reid | S | Questionable | Concussion · Reid (concussion) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris. |
| NO | Nathan Shepherd | DT | Questionable | Illness · questionable |
| ATL | Anterio Thompson | DT | Out | Undisclosed · Thompson posted on social media this week that he was diagnosed with a genetic mutation on his spinal cord in early May and indicated that he was told he will "never play football again," Josh Kendall of The Athletic reports. |
| ATL | Billy Bowman Jr. | CB | Out | Hamstring · out |
| ATL | Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | Out | Hamstring · out |
| ATL | Divine Deablo | LB | Out | Forearm · out |
| ATL | Samson Ebukam | DE | Out | Hamstring · Ebukam (hamstring) has been ruled out for Atlanta's Week 9 matchup versus the Bengals, William McFadden of the team's official site reports. |
| ATL | Zachariah Branch | WR | Out | Hamstring · Coach Kevin Stefanski noted Monday that Branch (hamstring) won't play Sunday against the Bengals, William McFadden of the Falcons' official site reports. |
On the Wire
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.