Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
Game data updated 4 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 18, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 10, 5:00 AM · outdoors
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | GB | DET | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | GB 56% | 56% | 44% | GB 1500 vs DET 1519, implied spread GB −1.2 |
| Closing spread | GB 57% | 57% | 43% | GB -2.5 |
| The blend | GB 59% | 59% | 41% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Green Bay Packers over the Lions: Elo 56%, market 57%. Tight agreement: go above both.
Details
- Rest: GB 6 days, DET 7 days.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.