Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 4, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 4, 5:00 PM · outdoors
Green Bay Packers0–1 · Elo 1500 · Jordan Love · off a bye
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0–1 · Elo 1466 · Baker Mayfield · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | TB | GB | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | GB 52% | 48% | 52% | TB 1466 vs GB 1500, implied spread TB +0.5 |
| Closing spread | GB 54% | 46% | 54% | TB +1.5 |
| The blend | GB 54% | 46% | 54% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Green Bay Packers over the Buccaneers: Elo 52%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. GB off a bye.
Details
- Rest: TB 7 days, GB 10 days. GB off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.