Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints
Game data updated 2 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 5, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 11, 5:00 PM · dome
Minnesota Vikings1–0 · Elo 1555 · Carson Wentz (+43)
New Orleans Saints
0–1 · Elo 1472 · Tyler Shough (-16) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | NO | MIN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | MIN 63% | 37% | 63% | NO 1472 vs MIN 1555, implied spread NO +3.8 |
| Closing spread | MIN 54% | 46% | 54% | NO +1.5 |
| The blend | MIN 57% | 43% | 57% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Minnesota Vikings over the Saints: Elo 63%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Shough is costing 16 Elo; Wentz is worth 43 Elo.
Details
- Rest: NO 6 days, MIN 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: NO -16 (Tyler Shough), MIN +43 (Carson Wentz). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.