Week 6 predictions

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants

Game data updated 4 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open

Week 6, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 18, 5:00 PM · outdoors

New Orleans Saints
0–1 · Elo 1472 · Tyler Shough (-16)
Elo: NYG 59%Spread: NYG 57%
New York Giants
1–0 · Elo 1474 · Jaxson Dart · Home

What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsNYGNONote
EloNYG 59%59%41%NYG 1474 vs NO 1472, implied spread NYG −2.5
Closing spreadNYG 57%57%43%NYG -2.5
The blendNYG 60%60%40%

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The spot: Tight agreement

Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.

New York Giants over the Saints: Elo 59%, market 57%. Tight agreement: go above both. Shough is costing 16 Elo.

Details

Line movement

No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.