Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Game data updated 32 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 7, 2026 · Tuesday, Oct 27, 12:15 AM · outdoors
Dallas Cowboys
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | PHI | DAL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | PHI 69% | 69% | 31% | PHI 1539 vs DAL 1449, implied spread PHI −5.5 |
| Closing spread | PHI 59% | 59% | 41% | PHI -3 |
| The blend | PHI 61% | 61% | 39% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Philadelphia Eagles over the Cowboys: Elo 69%, market 59%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Hurts is worth 17 Elo; Prescott is worth 17 Elo.
Details
- Rest: PHI 8 days, DAL 8 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: PHI +17 (Jalen Hurts), DAL +17 (Dak Prescott). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Tuesday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.