Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders
Game data updated 2 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 7, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 25, 8:25 PM · dome
Los Angeles Rams0–1 · Elo 1545 · Matthew Stafford
Las Vegas Raiders
1–0 · Elo 1420 · Kirk Cousins (+70) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | LV | LAR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | LAR 51% | 49% | 51% | LV 1420 vs LAR 1545, implied spread LV +0.2 |
| Closing spread | LAR 71% | 29% | 71% | LV +7.5 |
| The blend | LAR 66% | 34% | 66% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Los Angeles Rams over the Raiders: Elo 51%, market 71%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Cousins is worth 70 Elo.
Details
- Rest: LV 7 days, LAR 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: LV +70 (Kirk Cousins), LAR 0 (Matthew Stafford). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.