Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints
Game data updated 1 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 7, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 25, 1:30 PM · neutral site · dome
Pittsburgh Steelers1–0 · Elo 1526 · Aaron Rodgers
New Orleans Saints
0–1 · Elo 1472 · Tyler Shough (-16) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | NO | PIT | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | PIT 60% | 40% | 60% | NO 1472 vs PIT 1526, implied spread NO +2.7 |
| Closing spread | PIT 57% | 43% | 57% | NO +2.5 |
| The blend | PIT 60% | 40% | 60% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Pittsburgh Steelers over the Saints: Elo 60%, market 57%. Tight agreement: go above both. Shough is costing 16 Elo.
Details
- Rest: NO 7 days, PIT 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: NO -16 (Tyler Shough), PIT -2 (Aaron Rodgers). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.