AFC East: Bills 6-1. AFC North: Steelers 6-2. AFC South: Jaguars 5-2. AFC West: Broncos 6-2. NFC East: Giants 4-2-1. NFC North: Vikings 6-1. NFC South: Panthers 3-4. NFC West: 49ers 6-1. Winless: Chargers. Read more →
Buffalo Bills
Current Elo 1646. Rating after every game since 1970; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 97%, division 74%, title 17%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills, Week 8. The Bills won 36 to 10; the game turned on (Shotgun) T.Huntley sacked at BLT 33 for -7 yards (C.Bishop). FUMBLES (C.Bishop) [C.Bishop. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6–1 | 1646 | 1646 | Josh Allen |
| 2025 | 12–5 | 1641 | 1651 | Josh Allen, Mitchell Trubisky |
| 2024 | 13–4 | 1687 | 1714 | Josh Allen, Mitchell Trubisky |
| 2023 | 11–6 | 1651 | 1670 | Josh Allen |
| 2022 | 13–3 | 1692 | 1732 | Josh Allen |
| 2021 | 11–6 | 1669 | 1690 | Josh Allen |
| 2020 | 13–3 | 1699 | 1720 | Josh Allen |
| 2019 | 10–6 | 1515 | 1572 | Josh Allen |
| 2018 | 6–10 | 1420 | 1503 | Nathan Peterman, Josh Allen, Derek Anderson |
| 2017 | 9–7 | 1501 | 1559 | Tyrod Taylor, Nathan Peterman |
| 2016 | 7–9 | 1474 | 1598 | Tyrod Taylor, EJ Manuel |
| 2015 | 8–8 | 1526 | 1575 | Matt Cassel, Tyrod Taylor, EJ Manuel |
| 2014 | 9–7 | 1549 | 1549 | EJ Manuel, Kyle Orton |
| 2013 | 6–10 | 1432 | 1448 | EJ Manuel, Thaddeus Lewis, Jeff Tuel |
| 2012 | 6–10 | 1415 | 1474 | Ryan Fitzpatrick |
| 2011 | 6–10 | 1409 | 1529 | Ryan Fitzpatrick |
| 2010 | 4–12 | 1407 | 1455 | Trent Edwards, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brian Brohm |
| 2009 | 6–10 | 1462 | 1471 | Trent Edwards, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brian Brohm |
| 2008 | 7–9 | 1425 | 1553 | Trent Edwards, J.P. Losman |
| 2007 | 7–9 | 1462 | 1552 | J.P. Losman, Trent Edwards |
| 2006 | 7–9 | 1523 | 1543 | J.P. Losman |
| 2005 | 5–11 | 1459 | 1584 | J.P. Losman, Kelly Holcomb |
| 2004 | 9–7 | 1602 | 1619 | Drew Bledsoe |
| 2003 | 6–10 | 1465 | 1553 | Drew Bledsoe |
| 2002 | 8–8 | 1481 | 1495 | Drew Bledsoe |
| 2001 | 3–13 | 1367 | 1483 | Rob Johnson, Alex Van Pelt |
| 2000 | 8–8 | 1529 | 1604 | Rob Johnson, Doug Flutie |
| 1999 | 11–5 | 1614 | 1630 | Doug Flutie, Rob Johnson |
| 1998 | 10–6 | 1533 | 1548 | Rob Johnson, Doug Flutie |
| 1997 | 6–10 | 1408 | 1512 | Todd Collins, Alex Van Pelt |
| 1996 | 10–6 | 1536 | 1591 | Jim Kelly, Todd Collins |
| 1995 | 10–6 | 1511 | 1543 | Jim Kelly, Todd Collins |
| 1994 | 7–9 | 1492 | 1600 | Jim Kelly, Frank Reich |
| 1993 | 12–4 | 1654 | 1674 | Jim Kelly |
| 1992 | 11–5 | 1638 | 1670 | Jim Kelly, Frank Reich |
| 1991 | 13–3 | 1681 | 1703 | Jim Kelly, Frank Reich |
| 1990 | 13–3 | 1698 | 1705 | Jim Kelly, Frank Reich |
| 1989 | 9–7 | 1564 | 1596 | Jim Kelly, Frank Reich |
| 1988 | 12–4 | 1582 | 1642 | Jim Kelly |
| 1987 | 7–8 | 1442 | 1482 | Jim Kelly, Dan Manucci, Willie Totten |
| 1986 | 4–12 | 1300 | 1358 | Jim Kelly |
| 1985 | 2–14 | 1280 | 1377 | Vince Ferragamo, Bruce Mathison |
| 1984 | 2–14 | 1336 | 1450 | Joe Ferguson, Joe Dufek |
| 1983 | 8–8 | 1448 | 1539 | Joe Ferguson |
| 1982 | 4–5 | 1504 | 1557 | Joe Ferguson |
| 1981 | 10–6 | 1555 | 1591 | Joe Ferguson |
| 1980 | 11–5 | 1558 | 1596 | Joe Ferguson |
| 1979 | 7–9 | 1445 | 1491 | Joe Ferguson |
| 1978 | 5–11 | 1382 | 1404 | Joe Ferguson |
| 1977 | 3–11 | 1322 | 1373 | Joe Ferguson |
| 1976 | 2–12 | 1339 | 1516 | Joe Ferguson, Gary Marangi |
| 1975 | 8–6 | 1556 | 1606 | Joe Ferguson |
| 1974 | 9–5 | 1509 | 1598 | Joe Ferguson |
| 1973 | 9–5 | 1535 | 1535 | Joe Ferguson |
| 1972 | 4–9–1 | 1364 | 1364 | Dennis Shaw, Leo Hart |
| 1971 | 1–13 | 1244 | 1347 | Dennis Shaw, James Harris |
| 1970 | 3–10–1 | 1287 | 1389 | Dan Darragh, Dennis Shaw |