AFC East: Bills 6-1. AFC North: Steelers 6-2. AFC South: Jaguars 5-2. AFC West: Broncos 6-2. NFC East: Giants 4-2-1. NFC North: Vikings 6-1. NFC South: Panthers 3-4. NFC West: 49ers 6-1. Winless: Chargers. Read more →
Buffalo Bills
Current Elo 1646. Rating after every game since 2020; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 97%, division 74%, title 17%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills, Week 8. The Bills won 36 to 10; the game turned on (Shotgun) T.Huntley sacked at BLT 33 for -7 yards (C.Bishop). FUMBLES (C.Bishop) [C.Bishop. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6–1 | 1646 | 1646 | Josh Allen |
| 2025 | 12–5 | 1641 | 1651 | Josh Allen, Mitchell Trubisky |
| 2024 | 13–4 | 1687 | 1714 | Josh Allen, Mitchell Trubisky |
| 2023 | 11–6 | 1651 | 1670 | Josh Allen |
| 2022 | 13–3 | 1692 | 1732 | Josh Allen |
| 2021 | 11–6 | 1669 | 1690 | Josh Allen |
| 2020 | 13–3 | 1699 | 1720 | Josh Allen |