Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
Detroit Lions
Current Elo 1569. Rating after every game since 1990; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 75%, division 11%, title 3%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Chicago Bears rose to 1639; Seattle Seahawks fell to 1608. Read more →
Since Saturday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Lions at Dolphins, 6 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%). Read more →
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions, Week 8. The Lions won 19 to 15; the game turned on K.Murray pass deep middle to J.Addison to DET 10 for 51 yards (K.Dorsey).. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5–2 | 1569 | 1569 | Jared Goff |
| 2025 | 9–8 | 1557 | 1641 | Jared Goff |
| 2024 | 15–2 | 1678 | 1733 | Jared Goff |
| 2023 | 12–5 | 1604 | 1612 | Jared Goff |
| 2022 | 9–8 | 1509 | 1509 | Jared Goff |
| 2021 | 3–13–1 | 1357 | 1371 | Jared Goff, Tim Boyle |
| 2020 | 5–11 | 1333 | 1435 | Matthew Stafford |
| 2019 | 3–12–1 | 1354 | 1525 | Matthew Stafford, Jeff Driskel, David Blough |
| 2018 | 6–10 | 1483 | 1535 | Matthew Stafford |
| 2017 | 9–7 | 1533 | 1565 | Matthew Stafford |
| 2016 | 9–7 | 1499 | 1576 | Matthew Stafford |
| 2015 | 7–9 | 1502 | 1523 | Matthew Stafford |
| 2014 | 11–5 | 1555 | 1580 | Matthew Stafford |
| 2013 | 7–9 | 1456 | 1522 | Matthew Stafford |
| 2012 | 4–12 | 1397 | 1530 | Matthew Stafford |
| 2011 | 10–6 | 1533 | 1560 | Matthew Stafford |
| 2010 | 6–10 | 1424 | 1424 | Matthew Stafford, Shaun Hill, Drew Stanton |
| 2009 | 2–14 | 1213 | 1331 | Matthew Stafford, Daunte Culpepper, Drew Stanton |
| 2008 | 0–16 | 1241 | 1415 | Jon Kitna, Dan Orlovsky, Daunte Culpepper |
| 2007 | 7–9 | 1408 | 1502 | Jon Kitna |
| 2006 | 3–13 | 1330 | 1396 | Jon Kitna |
| 2005 | 5–11 | 1354 | 1461 | Joey Harrington, Jeff Garcia |
| 2004 | 6–10 | 1393 | 1468 | Joey Harrington |
| 2003 | 5–11 | 1367 | 1392 | Joey Harrington |
| 2002 | 3–13 | 1297 | 1387 | Mike McMahon, Joey Harrington |
| 2001 | 2–14 | 1351 | 1489 | Charlie Batch, Ty Detmer, Mike McMahon |
| 2000 | 9–7 | 1512 | 1550 | Stoney Case, Charlie Batch |
| 1999 | 8–8 | 1447 | 1549 | Charlie Batch, Gus Frerotte |
| 1998 | 5–11 | 1440 | 1503 | Scott Mitchell, Charlie Batch, Frank Reich |
| 1997 | 9–7 | 1515 | 1535 | Scott Mitchell |
| 1996 | 5–11 | 1410 | 1582 | Scott Mitchell, Don Majkowski |
| 1995 | 10–6 | 1580 | 1613 | Scott Mitchell |
| 1994 | 9–7 | 1534 | 1563 | Scott Mitchell, Dave Krieg |
| 1993 | 10–6 | 1502 | 1542 | Rodney Peete, Andre Ware, Erik Kramer |
| 1992 | 5–11 | 1475 | 1586 | Rodney Peete, Erik Kramer, Andre Ware |
| 1991 | 12–4 | 1625 | 1643 | Rodney Peete, Erik Kramer |
| 1990 | 6–10 | 1473 | 1495 | Rodney Peete, Bob Gagliano, Andre Ware |