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Detroit Lions

Current Elo 1569. Rating after every game since 2000; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.

Detroit Lions Elo since 2000115012001250130013501400145015001550160016501700175018002000200420082012201620202024avg 1505DriskelBloughStaffordGoffBoyleGoffBoyleGoff

Playoff odds this season

Now: playoffs 75%, division 11%, title 3%. One point per day the simulation ran.

Playoff probabilityDET playoff oddsSep 18, 8 PM ET: 47%Sep 19, 8 PM ET: 46%Sep 20, 8 PM ET: 52%Sep 21, 8 PM ET: 53%Sep 22, 8 PM ET: 53%Sep 23, 8 PM ET: 52%Sep 24, 8 PM ET: 56%Sep 25, 8 PM ET: 56%Sep 26, 8 PM ET: 68%Sep 27, 8 PM ET: 71%Sep 28, 8 PM ET: 67%Sep 29, 8 PM ET: 67%Sep 30, 8 PM ET: 67%Oct 1, 8 PM ET: 67%Oct 2, 8 PM ET: 68%Oct 3, 8 PM ET: 60%Oct 4, 8 PM ET: 40%Oct 5, 8 PM ET: 40%Oct 6, 8 PM ET: 41%Oct 7, 8 PM ET: 41%Oct 8, 8 PM ET: 32%Oct 9, 8 PM ET: 31%Oct 10, 8 PM ET: 42%Oct 11, 8 PM ET: 61%Oct 12, 8 PM ET: 55%Oct 13, 8 PM ET: 53%Oct 14, 8 PM ET: 54%Oct 15, 8 PM ET: 56%Oct 16, 8 PM ET: 56%Oct 17, 8 PM ET: 55%Oct 18, 8 PM ET: 54%Oct 19, 8 PM ET: 53%Oct 20, 8 PM ET: 54%Oct 21, 8 PM ET: 54%Oct 22, 8 PM ET: 50%Oct 23, 8 PM ET: 51%Oct 24, 8 PM ET: 45%Oct 25, 8 PM ET: 57%Oct 26, 8 PM ET: 58%Oct 27, 8 PM ET: 57%Oct 28, 8 PM ET: 58%Oct 29, 8 PM ET: 54%Oct 30, 8 PM ET: 54%Oct 31, 8 PM ET: 77%Nov 1, 7 PM ET: 75%Nov 2, 7 PM ET: 75%

On the Wire

Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions, Week 8. The Lions won 19 to 15; the game turned on K.Murray pass deep middle to J.Addison to DET 10 for 51 yards (K.Dorsey).. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →

Seasons

SeasonRecordEnd EloPeakQuarterbacks
20265–215691569Jared Goff
20259–815571641Jared Goff
202415–216781733Jared Goff
202312–516041612Jared Goff
20229–815091509Jared Goff
20213–13–113571371Jared Goff, Tim Boyle
20205–1113331435Matthew Stafford
20193–12–113541525Matthew Stafford, Jeff Driskel, David Blough
20186–1014831535Matthew Stafford
20179–715331565Matthew Stafford
20169–714991576Matthew Stafford
20157–915021523Matthew Stafford
201411–515551580Matthew Stafford
20137–914561522Matthew Stafford
20124–1213971530Matthew Stafford
201110–615331560Matthew Stafford
20106–1014241424Matthew Stafford, Shaun Hill, Drew Stanton
20092–1412131331Matthew Stafford, Daunte Culpepper, Drew Stanton
20080–1612411415Jon Kitna, Dan Orlovsky, Daunte Culpepper
20077–914081502Jon Kitna
20063–1313301396Jon Kitna
20055–1113541461Joey Harrington, Jeff Garcia
20046–1013931468Joey Harrington
20035–1113671392Joey Harrington
20023–1312971387Mike McMahon, Joey Harrington
20012–1413511489Charlie Batch, Ty Detmer, Mike McMahon
20009–715121550Stoney Case, Charlie Batch