Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
Detroit Lions
Current Elo 1569. Rating after every game since 2020; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 75%, division 11%, title 3%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Chicago Bears rose to 1639; Seattle Seahawks fell to 1608. Read more →
Since Saturday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Lions at Dolphins, 6 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%). Read more →
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions, Week 8. The Lions won 19 to 15; the game turned on K.Murray pass deep middle to J.Addison to DET 10 for 51 yards (K.Dorsey).. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5–2 | 1569 | 1569 | Jared Goff |
| 2025 | 9–8 | 1557 | 1641 | Jared Goff |
| 2024 | 15–2 | 1678 | 1733 | Jared Goff |
| 2023 | 12–5 | 1604 | 1612 | Jared Goff |
| 2022 | 9–8 | 1509 | 1509 | Jared Goff |
| 2021 | 3–13–1 | 1357 | 1371 | Jared Goff, Tim Boyle |
| 2020 | 5–11 | 1333 | 1435 | Matthew Stafford |