Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks, Week 8. The Bears won 34 to 17 as a 62% underdog by the market; the game turned on (Shotgun) S.Darnold pass deep left to J.Smith-Njigba for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Myers extr. Attendance 68,739. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Seattle Seahawks
Current Elo 1608. Rating after every game since 1970; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 80%, division 20%, title 10%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
Chicago Bears rose to 1639; Seattle Seahawks fell to 1608. Read more →
Drew Lock started last time out. Elo's quarterback adjustment for the Seahawks is now -2 points on Cardinals at Seahawks. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4–4 | 1608 | 1655 | Drew Lock, Sam Darnold |
| 2025 | 14–3 | 1745 | 1745 | Sam Darnold |
| 2024 | 10–7 | 1542 | 1547 | Geno Smith |
| 2023 | 9–8 | 1484 | 1534 | Geno Smith, Drew Lock |
| 2022 | 9–8 | 1500 | 1574 | Geno Smith |
| 2021 | 7–10 | 1538 | 1597 | Russell Wilson, Geno Smith |
| 2020 | 12–4 | 1596 | 1629 | Russell Wilson |
| 2019 | 11–5 | 1568 | 1642 | Russell Wilson |
| 2018 | 10–6 | 1596 | 1605 | Russell Wilson |
| 2017 | 9–7 | 1565 | 1623 | Russell Wilson |
| 2016 | 10–5–1 | 1604 | 1676 | Russell Wilson |
| 2015 | 10–6 | 1699 | 1718 | Russell Wilson |
| 2014 | 12–4 | 1764 | 1783 | Russell Wilson |
| 2013 | 13–3 | 1766 | 1766 | Russell Wilson |
| 2012 | 11–5 | 1648 | 1657 | Russell Wilson |
| 2011 | 7–9 | 1491 | 1515 | Tarvaris Jackson, Charlie Whitehurst |
| 2010 | 7–9 | 1409 | 1462 | Matt Hasselbeck, Charlie Whitehurst |
| 2009 | 5–11 | 1350 | 1461 | Matt Hasselbeck, Seneca Wallace |
| 2008 | 4–12 | 1413 | 1506 | Matt Hasselbeck, Charlie Frye, Seneca Wallace |
| 2007 | 10–6 | 1554 | 1575 | Matt Hasselbeck |
| 2006 | 9–7 | 1515 | 1637 | Matt Hasselbeck, Seneca Wallace |
| 2005 | 13–3 | 1658 | 1677 | Matt Hasselbeck |
| 2004 | 9–7 | 1468 | 1585 | Matt Hasselbeck, Trent Dilfer |
| 2003 | 10–6 | 1519 | 1560 | Matt Hasselbeck |
| 2002 | 7–9 | 1508 | 1508 | Matt Hasselbeck, Trent Dilfer |
| 2001 | 9–7 | 1490 | 1490 | Matt Hasselbeck, Trent Dilfer |
| 2000 | 6–10 | 1440 | 1510 | Jon Kitna, Brock Huard |
| 1999 | 9–7 | 1513 | 1629 | Jon Kitna, Glenn Foley |
| 1998 | 8–8 | 1525 | 1570 | Warren Moon, John Friesz, Jon Kitna |
| 1997 | 8–8 | 1507 | 1536 | John Friesz, Warren Moon, Jon Kitna |
| 1996 | 7–9 | 1511 | 1523 | Rick Mirer, John Friesz, Stan Gelbaugh |
| 1995 | 8–8 | 1489 | 1502 | Rick Mirer, John Friesz |
| 1994 | 6–10 | 1387 | 1519 | Rick Mirer, Dan McGwire |
| 1993 | 6–10 | 1398 | 1443 | Rick Mirer |
| 1992 | 2–14 | 1323 | 1457 | Kelly Stouffer, Dan McGwire, Stan Gelbaugh |
| 1991 | 7–9 | 1493 | 1566 | Dave Krieg, Jeff Kemp, Dan McGwire |
| 1990 | 9–7 | 1542 | 1542 | Dave Krieg |
| 1989 | 7–9 | 1464 | 1530 | Dave Krieg, Kelly Stouffer |
| 1988 | 9–7 | 1540 | 1581 | Dave Krieg, Jeff Kemp, Kelly Stouffer |
| 1987 | 9–6 | 1554 | 1632 | Dave Krieg, Bruce Mathison, Jeff Kemp |
| 1986 | 10–6 | 1636 | 1636 | Dave Krieg, Gale Gilbert |
| 1985 | 8–8 | 1567 | 1620 | Dave Krieg |
| 1984 | 12–4 | 1616 | 1704 | Dave Krieg |
| 1983 | 9–7 | 1583 | 1600 | Jim Zorn, Dave Krieg |
| 1982 | 4–5 | 1453 | 1497 | Dave Krieg, Jim Zorn |
| 1981 | 6–10 | 1453 | 1453 | Jim Zorn, Dave Krieg |
| 1980 | 4–12 | 1394 | 1567 | Jim Zorn |
| 1979 | 9–7 | 1546 | 1546 | Jim Zorn |
| 1978 | 9–7 | 1482 | 1500 | Jim Zorn |
| 1977 | 5–9 | 1348 | 1349 | Jim Zorn, Steve Myer |
| 1976 | 2–12 | 1203 | 1292 | Jim Zorn |