Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks, Week 8. The Bears won 34 to 17 as a 62% underdog by the market; the game turned on (Shotgun) S.Darnold pass deep left to J.Smith-Njigba for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Myers extr. Attendance 68,739. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Seattle Seahawks
Current Elo 1608. Rating after every game since 2020; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 80%, division 20%, title 10%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
Chicago Bears rose to 1639; Seattle Seahawks fell to 1608. Read more →
Drew Lock started last time out. Elo's quarterback adjustment for the Seahawks is now -2 points on Cardinals at Seahawks. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4–4 | 1608 | 1655 | Drew Lock, Sam Darnold |
| 2025 | 14–3 | 1745 | 1745 | Sam Darnold |
| 2024 | 10–7 | 1542 | 1547 | Geno Smith |
| 2023 | 9–8 | 1484 | 1534 | Geno Smith, Drew Lock |
| 2022 | 9–8 | 1500 | 1574 | Geno Smith |
| 2021 | 7–10 | 1538 | 1597 | Russell Wilson, Geno Smith |
| 2020 | 12–4 | 1596 | 1629 | Russell Wilson |