The Report · data-driven NFL insights, delivered every morning

← Ratings

Seattle Seahawks

Current Elo 1608. Rating after every game since 2010; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.

Seattle Seahawks Elo since 2010130013501400145015001550160016501700175018001850201020132016201920222025avg 1505SmithWilsonSmithLockSmithDarnoldLockDarnold

Playoff odds this season

Now: playoffs 80%, division 20%, title 10%. One point per day the simulation ran.

Playoff probabilitySEA playoff oddsSep 18, 8 PM ET: 83%Sep 19, 8 PM ET: 81%Sep 20, 8 PM ET: 91%Sep 21, 8 PM ET: 95%Sep 22, 8 PM ET: 95%Sep 23, 8 PM ET: 95%Sep 24, 8 PM ET: 95%Sep 25, 8 PM ET: 96%Sep 26, 8 PM ET: 89%Sep 27, 8 PM ET: 89%Sep 28, 8 PM ET: 88%Sep 29, 8 PM ET: 89%Sep 30, 8 PM ET: 88%Oct 1, 8 PM ET: 89%Oct 2, 8 PM ET: 90%Oct 3, 8 PM ET: 86%Oct 4, 8 PM ET: 90%Oct 5, 8 PM ET: 89%Oct 6, 8 PM ET: 91%Oct 7, 8 PM ET: 90%Oct 8, 8 PM ET: 89%Oct 9, 8 PM ET: 89%Oct 10, 8 PM ET: 91%Oct 11, 8 PM ET: 83%Oct 12, 8 PM ET: 82%Oct 13, 8 PM ET: 83%Oct 14, 8 PM ET: 82%Oct 15, 8 PM ET: 74%Oct 16, 8 PM ET: 71%Oct 17, 8 PM ET: 72%Oct 18, 8 PM ET: 77%Oct 19, 8 PM ET: 78%Oct 20, 8 PM ET: 78%Oct 21, 8 PM ET: 77%Oct 22, 8 PM ET: 77%Oct 23, 8 PM ET: 75%Oct 24, 8 PM ET: 77%Oct 25, 8 PM ET: 85%Oct 26, 8 PM ET: 85%Oct 27, 8 PM ET: 84%Oct 28, 8 PM ET: 84%Oct 29, 8 PM ET: 83%Oct 30, 8 PM ET: 83%Oct 31, 8 PM ET: 82%Nov 1, 7 PM ET: 78%Nov 2, 7 PM ET: 80%

On the Wire

Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks, Week 8. The Bears won 34 to 17 as a 62% underdog by the market; the game turned on (Shotgun) S.Darnold pass deep left to J.Smith-Njigba for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Myers extr. Attendance 68,739. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →

Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →

Seasons

SeasonRecordEnd EloPeakQuarterbacks
20264–416081655Drew Lock, Sam Darnold
202514–317451745Sam Darnold
202410–715421547Geno Smith
20239–814841534Geno Smith, Drew Lock
20229–815001574Geno Smith
20217–1015381597Russell Wilson, Geno Smith
202012–415961629Russell Wilson
201911–515681642Russell Wilson
201810–615961605Russell Wilson
20179–715651623Russell Wilson
201610–5–116041676Russell Wilson
201510–616991718Russell Wilson
201412–417641783Russell Wilson
201313–317661766Russell Wilson
201211–516481657Russell Wilson
20117–914911515Tarvaris Jackson, Charlie Whitehurst
20107–914091462Matt Hasselbeck, Charlie Whitehurst