Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
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New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears
Game data updated 2 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 11, 2026 · Soldier Field · Sunday, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET · outdoors
New Orleans Saints2–5 · Elo 1451 · Tyler Shough (−16 Elo)
Chicago Bears
5–2 · Elo 1604 · Caleb Williams · off a bye · Home
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NOCHI
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CHI | NO | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CHI 80% | 80% | 20% | CHI 1604 vs NO 1451, implied spread CHI −9.7 |
| The blend | CHI 80% | 80% | 20% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: CHI 14 days, NO 7 days. CHI off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterbacks. CHI: Caleb Williams (0 Elo). NO: Tyler Shough (-16 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Cesar Ruiz | G | Questionable | Knee · questionable |
| NO | CJ Donaldson | RB | Questionable | Shoulder · Donaldson (shoulder) is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris. |
| NO | Justin Reid | S | Questionable | Concussion · Reid (concussion) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris. |
| NO | Nathan Shepherd | DT | Questionable | Illness · questionable |
| CHI | Case Keenum | QB | Out | Coach's Decision · Keenum (coach's decision) is inactive but will operate as the Bears' emergency third quarterback for Monday night's matchup against the Seahawks. |
| CHI | Jayden Loving | DT | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| CHI | Jordan McFadden | G | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| CHI | Jordan van den Berg | DT | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| CHI | Kyle Monangai | RB | Out | Thumb · inactive |
| CHI | Malik Muhammad II | CB | Out | Toe · Muhammad (toe) is inactive for Monday's game against the Seahawks. |
On the Wire
Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.