Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game data updated 4 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 12, 2026 · Tuesday, Dec 1, 1:15 AM · outdoors
Carolina Panthers0–1 · Elo 1431 · Bryce Young
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0–1 · Elo 1466 · Baker Mayfield · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | TB | CAR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | TB 61% | 61% | 39% | TB 1466 vs CAR 1431, implied spread TB −3.1 |
| Closing spread | TB 60% | 60% | 40% | TB -3.5 |
| The blend | TB 62% | 62% | 38% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the Panthers: Elo 61%, market 60%. Tight agreement: go above both.
Details
- Rest: TB 8 days, CAR 8 days.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Tuesday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.