Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans
Game data updated 4 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 15, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 20, 6:00 PM · closed
Jacksonville Jaguars1–0 · Elo 1571 · Trevor Lawrence
Houston Texans
0–1 · Elo 1556 · C.J. Stroud · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | HOU | JAX | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | HOU 54% | 54% | 46% | HOU 1556 vs JAX 1571, implied spread HOU −1.2 |
| Closing spread | HOU 59% | 59% | 41% | HOU -3 |
| The blend | HOU 58% | 58% | 42% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Houston Texans over the Jaguars: Elo 54%, market 59%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine.
Details
- Rest: HOU 7 days, JAX 6 days.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.