Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
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Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos
Game data updated 2 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 16, 2026 · Empower Field at Mile High · Friday, Dec 25, 4:30 PM ET · outdoors
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | DEN | BUF | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | DEN 54% | 54% | 46% | DEN 1617 vs BUF 1646, implied spread DEN −1.1 |
| The blend | DEN 54% | 54% | 46% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: DEN 5 days, BUF 6 days.
- Quarterbacks. DEN: Bo Nix (-1 Elo). BUF: Josh Allen (-9 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Friday.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | Dee Alford | CB | Out | Ankle · Alford (ankle) is inactive for Sunday's game against Baltimore. |
| BUF | Greg Gaines | DT | Out | Calf · out |
| BUF | Spencer Brown | OT | Out | Back · out |
| BUF | Tyrell Shavers | WR | Out | Knee - ACL · The Bills designated Shavers (knee) to return from the reserve/PUP list Wednesday, but he will not play against the Ravens on Sunday, Cameron Wolfe of NFL Network reports. |
| BUF | DJ Moore | WR | Questionable | Knee · Moore indicated following Sunday's 36-10 win over the Ravens that he's okay in the wake of his late-game exit due to a knee issue, Cameron Wolfe of NFL Network reports. |
| BUF | Joshua Palmer | WR | Questionable | Hamstring · Palmer (hamstring) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Ravens. |
| DEN | Talanoa Hufanga | S | Out | Ankle · out |
| DEN | Brandon Jones | S | Questionable | Hamstring · Jones (hamstring) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's contest against the Chiefs, Parker Gabriel of The Denver Post reports. |
| DEN | Kris Abrams-Draine | CB | Questionable | Ankle · Abrams-Draine (ankle) is questionable to return to Sunday's contest versus the Chiefs, Parker Gabriel of The Denver Post reports. |
On the Wire
AFC East: Bills 5-1. AFC North: Browns 5-2. AFC South: Jaguars 4-2. AFC West: Chiefs 5-1. NFC East: Giants 4-2-1. NFC North: Vikings 6-0. NFC South: Panthers 3-3. NFC West: 49ers 6-1. Unbeaten: Vikings. Winless: Chargers. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.