Jaguars at Ravens $211k, Raiders at 49ers $59k, Packers at Patriots $35k traded on Kalshi and Polymarket. The exchanges and the books agree within four points everywhere. Read more →
← Back to Week 16 picks · Back to Week 16 predictions
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 16, 2026 · Soldier Field · Friday, Dec 25, 1:00 PM ET · outdoors
Make your pick
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
GBCHI
Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CHI | GB | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CHI 66% | 66% | 34% | CHI 1604 vs GB 1533, implied spread CHI −4.7 |
| The blend | CHI 66% | 66% | 34% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: CHI 6 days, GB 5 days.
- Quarterbacks. CHI: Caleb Williams (0 Elo). GB: Jordan Love (+0 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Friday.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB | Donovan Jennings | G | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| GB | Jonnu Smith | TE | Out | Coach's Decision · Smith (coach's decision) is inactive for Thursday's game against the Panthers Mike Spofford of the team's official site reports. |
| GB | Kaleb Johnson | RB | Out | Coach's Decision · Johnson (coach's decision) is inactive for Thursday's game against the Panthers, Mike Spofford of the team's official site reports. |
| GB | Micah Parsons | DE | Out | Knee - ACL · Head coach Matt LaFleur said Monday that the Packers' "intention" is for Parsons (knee) to resume practicing in Week 9, Weston Hodkiewicz of the team's official site reports. "It's gonna be a process trying to get him back," LaFleur said. "We're hopeful he'll be able to get out there sometime this week." |
| GB | Sean Rhyan | G | Out | Ankle · inactive |
| GB | Travis Glover | OT | Out | Knee · inactive |
| GB | Zaire Franklin | LB | Out | Shin · inactive |
| GB | Christian Watson | WR | Questionable | Ribs · Packers passing game coordinator Jason Vrable said Monday that Watson (ribs) is sore but "doing great," Matt Schneidman of The Athletic reports. |
| CHI | Case Keenum | QB | Out | Coach's Decision · Keenum (coach's decision) is inactive but will operate as the Bears' emergency third quarterback for Monday night's matchup against the Seahawks. |
| CHI | Jayden Loving | DT | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| CHI | Jordan McFadden | G | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| CHI | Jordan van den Berg | DT | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| CHI | Kyle Monangai | RB | Out | Thumb · inactive |
| CHI | Malik Muhammad II | CB | Out | Toe · Muhammad (toe) is inactive for Monday's game against the Seahawks. |
On the Wire
Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.