New York Giants at Detroit Lions
Game data updated 5 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 16, 2026 · Tuesday, Dec 29, 1:15 AM · dome
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | DET | NYG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | DET 64% | 64% | 36% | DET 1519 vs NYG 1474, implied spread DET −3.9 |
| Closing spread | DET 63% | 63% | 37% | DET -4.5 |
| The blend | DET 65% | 65% | 35% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Detroit Lions over the Giants: Elo 64%, market 63%. Tight agreement: go above both.
Details
- Rest: DET 8 days, NYG 8 days.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.