Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers
Game data updated 5 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 17, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 3, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Seattle Seahawks1–0 · Elo 1636 · Drew Lock (-30)
Carolina Panthers
0–1 · Elo 1431 · Bryce Young · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CAR | SEA | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SEA 67% | 33% | 67% | CAR 1431 vs SEA 1636, implied spread CAR +4.8 |
| Closing spread | SEA 66% | 34% | 66% | CAR +5.5 |
| The blend | SEA 68% | 32% | 68% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Seattle Seahawks over the Panthers: Elo 67%, market 66%. Tight agreement: go above both. Lock is costing 30 Elo.
Details
- Rest: CAR 7 days, SEA 9 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: CAR +6 (Bryce Young), SEA -30 (Drew Lock). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.