Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
← Back to Week 17 picks · Back to Week 17 predictions
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers
Game data updated just now · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 17, 2026 · Bank of America Stadium · Sunday, Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET · outdoors
Make your pick
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SEACAR
Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CAR | SEA | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SEA 69% | 31% | 69% | CAR 1446 vs SEA 1643, implied spread CAR +5.6 |
| The blend | SEA 69% | 31% | 69% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: CAR 7 days, SEA 9 days.
- Quarterbacks. CAR: Bryce Young (+6 Elo). SEA: Sam Darnold (-2 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Beau Stephens | G | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| SEA | Brandon Pili | DT | Out | Back · Pili (back) is inactive for Monday night's game against the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| SEA | Charles Cross | OT | Out | Ankle · inactive |
| SEA | Drew Lock | QB | Out | Elbow · Lock (coach's decision) is inactive for Monday's matchup with the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| SEA | Rashid Shaheed | WR | Out | Knee · inactive |
| SEA | Uchenna Nwosu | LB | Out | Ankle · Nwosu (ankle) is inactive for Monday's clash with the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| SEA | Velus Jones Jr. | RB | Out | Hamstring · inactive |
| CAR | AJ Dillon | RB | Out | Coach's Decision · Dillon (coach's decision) is inactive for Thursday night's contest against the Packers, Darin Gantt of the team's official website reports. |
| CAR | Bobby Brown III | DT | Out | Hand · Brown (hand) is inactive for Thursday night's matchup against the Packers, Darin Gantt of the Panthers' official website reports. |
| CAR | Damien Lewis | G | Out | Knee · Lewis (knee) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against the Packers. |
| CAR | Haynes King | QB | Out | Coach's Decision · King (coach's decision) is inactive but operating as the Panthers' emergency No. 3 quarterback against the Packers on Thursday night, Darin Gantt of the team's official website reports. |
| CAR | Ja'Tavion Sanders | TE | Out | Coach's Decision · Sanders (coach's decision) is inactive for Thursday night's matchup with Green Bay, Darin Gantt of the team's official website reports. |
| CAR | Jaelan Phillips | LB | Out | Hamstring · Phillips (hamstring) is considered day-to-day, Joe Person of The Athletic reported Monday. |
| CAR | Torricelli Simpkins III | G | Out | Ankle · Simpkins (ankle) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against the Packers. |
| CAR | Corey Bullock | C | Questionable | Quadriceps · Bullock (quadriceps) exited Thursday's 27-19 loss to Green Bay and did not return, Sheena Quick of Fox Sports Radio 1340 reports. |
| CAR | Will Lee III | CB | Questionable | Hamstring · Lee (hamstring) is day to day but should have a chance to "test" his injury this week, Joe Person of The Athletic reports. |
On the Wire
Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
AFC East: Bills 5-1. AFC North: Browns 5-2. AFC South: Jaguars 4-2. AFC West: Chiefs 5-1. NFC East: Giants 4-2-1. NFC North: Vikings 6-0. NFC South: Panthers 3-3. NFC West: 49ers 6-1. Unbeaten: Vikings. Winless: Chargers. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.