Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals
Game data updated just now · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 18, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 10, 5:00 AM · outdoors
Cleveland Browns0–1 · Elo 1423 · Deshaun Watson (+34)
Cincinnati Bengals
1–0 · Elo 1505 · Joe Burrow (+17) · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CIN | CLE | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CIN 70% | 70% | 30% | CIN 1505 vs CLE 1423, implied spread CIN −5.5 |
| Closing spread | CIN 71% | 71% | 29% | CIN -7.5 |
| The blend | CIN 73% | 73% | 27% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Cincinnati Bengals over the Browns: Elo 70%, market 71%. Tight agreement: go above both. Burrow is worth 17 Elo; Watson is worth 34 Elo; CIN off a bye.
Details
- Rest: CIN 10 days, CLE 7 days. CIN off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: CIN +17 (Joe Burrow), CLE +34 (Deshaun Watson). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.