Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears
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Week 3, 2026 · Tuesday, Sep 29, 12:15 AM · outdoors
Philadelphia Eagles1–0 · Elo 1539 · Jalen Hurts (+17)
Chicago Bears
1–0 · Elo 1557 · Caleb Williams · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CHI | PHI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CHI 57% | 57% | 43% | CHI 1557 vs PHI 1539, implied spread CHI −1.9 |
| Closing spread | CHI 54% | 54% | 46% | CHI -1.5 |
| The blend | CHI 55% | 55% | 45% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Chicago Bears over the Eagles: Elo 57%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Hurts is worth 17 Elo.
Details
- Rest: CHI 8 days, PHI 8 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: CHI 0 (Caleb Williams), PHI +17 (Jalen Hurts). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Tuesday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.