Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers
Game data updated 2 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 4, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 4, 8:25 PM · outdoors
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | SF | DEN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SF 62% | 62% | 38% | SF 1584 vs DEN 1547, implied spread SF −3.4 |
| Closing spread | SF 57% | 57% | 43% | SF -2.5 |
| The blend | SF 59% | 59% | 41% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
San Francisco 49ers over the Broncos: Elo 62%, market 57%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine.
Details
- Rest: SF 7 days, DEN 7 days.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.