Week 7 predictions

Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans

Game data updated 2 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open

Week 7, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 25, 5:00 PM · outdoors

Cleveland Browns
0–1 · Elo 1423 · Deshaun Watson (+34)
Elo: CLE 54%Spread: TEN 57%
Tennessee Titans
0–1 · Elo 1364 · Cam Ward (+19) · Home

What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsTENCLENote
EloCLE 54%46%54%TEN 1364 vs CLE 1423, implied spread TEN +1.0
Closing spreadTEN 57%57%43%TEN -2.5
The blendTEN 55%55%45%

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The spot: Big disagreement

Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.

Tennessee Titans over the Browns: Elo 46%, market 57%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Ward is worth 19 Elo; Watson is worth 34 Elo.

Details

Line movement

No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.