Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
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New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Game data updated 2 min ago · markets priced 10 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 9, 2026 · Lincoln Financial Field · Sunday, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET · outdoors · wind 6 mph, 54°F
New York Giants4–2–1 · Elo 1504 · J.J. McCarthy (−88 Elo) · off a bye
Philadelphia Eagles
2–6 · Elo 1401 · Tanner McKee (−29 Elo) · Home
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | PHI | NYG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | NYG 53% | 47% | 53% | PHI 1401 vs NYG 1504, implied spread PHI +0.8 |
| Closing spread | NYG 60% | 40% | 60% | PHI +3.5 |
| Sportsbooks | NYG 60% | 40% | 60% | |
| Kalshi | NYG 64% | 37% | 64% | |
| Polymarket | NYG 63% | 37% | 63% | |
| The blend | NYG 60% | 40% | 60% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
New York Giants over the Eagles: Elo 53%, market 62%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. McKee is costing 29 Elo; McCarthy is costing 88 Elo; NYG off a bye.
Details
- Importance 37 of 100: how far the league's playoff odds swing on this result, from simulation. Quality 17.
- Rest: PHI 7 days, NYG 14 days. NYG off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterbacks. PHI: Tanner McKee (-29 Elo). NYG: J.J. McCarthy (-88 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Forecast at kickoff: wind 6 mph, 54°F. Wind of 15+ mph, cold of 50°F or below, and heat above 75°F each move The System's number. The evidence.
- The line. Spread PHI +3, total 40. Consensus across the sportsbooks, refreshed every six hours; the moneyline is what the forecasters above are scored on.
- Money on this game. Kalshi: $15k traded, $10k open · Polymarket: $804 traded. Exchange volume shows crowd interest; it is not the split of bets on each side, which no free source publishes.
- Markets disagree with each other: Books 40% vs Kalshi 37%, 4 points apart.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYG | Cam Skattebo | RB | Questionable | Hamstring · Giants head coach John Harbaugh said that Skattebo (hamstring) is day-to-day and could end up being a game-time decision for Sunday's tilt with the Eagles, Jordan Raanan of ESPN.com reports. |
| NYG | Greg Newsome II | CB | Questionable | Concussion · questionable |
| NYG | Jevon Holland | S | Questionable | Concussion · questionable |
| NYG | Marcus Mbow | OT | Questionable | Knee · questionable |
| NYG | Theo Johnson | TE | Questionable | Neck · Johnson (neck) participated during practice Monday, Dan Duggan of The Athletic reports. |
| PHI | Britain Covey | WR | Out | Knee · out |
| PHI | DeVonta Smith | WR | Out | Hamstring · out |
| PHI | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | Out | Ankle · out |
| PHI | Jihaad Campbell | LB | Out | Hamstring · out |
| PHI | Jonathan Jones | CB | Out | Hamstring · out |
| PHI | Michael Carter II | CB | Questionable | Abdomen · Carter (abdomen) is questionable to return to Sunday night's contest against the Commanders. |
On the Wire
Jaxson Dart started last time out. Elo's quarterback adjustment for the Giants is now -88 points on Giants at Eagles. Read more →
Jalen Hurts started last time out. Elo's quarterback adjustment for the Eagles is now -29 points on Giants at Eagles. Read more →
Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
AFC East: Bills 5-1. AFC North: Browns 5-2. AFC South: Jaguars 4-2. AFC West: Chiefs 5-1. NFC East: Giants 4-2-1. NFC North: Vikings 6-0. NFC South: Panthers 3-3. NFC West: 49ers 6-1. Unbeaten: Vikings. Winless: Chargers. Read more →
Line movement
Priced since Sat, Oct 31, 2 PM ET; last change Mon 10:37 PM ET. The consensus has moved away from PHI by 9 points since we first saw it. History records changes only, so a flat line means the price held.
| Market | Opened (PHI) | Now | Move | Changes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 46% | 37% | -9 | 53 |
| Polymarket | 46% | 37% | -9 | 45 |
| Sportsbooks | 48% | 40% | -8 | 5 |
Consensus over time