Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears
Game data updated 2 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 9, 2026 · Monday, Nov 9, 1:20 AM · outdoors
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0–1 · Elo 1466 · Baker Mayfield
Chicago Bears
1–0 · Elo 1557 · Caleb Williams · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CHI | TB | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CHI 69% | 69% | 31% | CHI 1557 vs TB 1466, implied spread CHI −5.5 |
| Closing spread | CHI 60% | 60% | 40% | CHI -3.5 |
| The blend | CHI 62% | 62% | 38% |
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The spot: Clear favorite, mild disagreement
Both favor the same team by 60% or more, but they differ by 4 to 10 points. Replays: favorites won about as often as the average of the two forecasts said (no surplus either way). The blend without a bump. Nothing to exploit; take the average.
Chicago Bears over the Buccaneers: Elo 69%, market 60%. Clear favorite, take the average.
Details
- Rest: CHI 6 days, TB 7 days.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Monday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.