Week 18 predictions

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

Game data updated 2 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open

Week 18, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 10, 5:00 AM · dome

Chicago Bears
1–0 · Elo 1557 · Caleb Williams
Elo: MIN 59%Spread: MIN 54%
Minnesota Vikings
1–0 · Elo 1555 · Carson Wentz (+43) · Home

What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsMINCHINote
EloMIN 59%59%41%MIN 1555 vs CHI 1557, implied spread MIN −3.6
Closing spreadMIN 54%54%46%MIN -1.5
The blendMIN 55%55%45%

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The spot: Everything else

Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.

Minnesota Vikings over the Bears: Elo 59%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Wentz is worth 43 Elo.

Details

Line movement

No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.