Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
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Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 18, 2026 · U.S. Bank Stadium · Sunday, Jan 10, 12:00 AM ET · dome
Chicago Bears5–2 · Elo 1604 · Caleb Williams
Minnesota Vikings
6–1 · Elo 1584 · Kyler Murray (+100 Elo) · Home
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CHIMIN
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | MIN | CHI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | MIN 68% | 68% | 32% | MIN 1584 vs CHI 1604, implied spread MIN −5.1 |
| The blend | MIN 68% | 68% | 32% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: MIN 7 days, CHI 7 days.
- Quarterbacks. MIN: Kyler Murray (+100 Elo). CHI: Caleb Williams (0 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | Case Keenum | QB | Out | Coach's Decision · Keenum (coach's decision) is inactive but will operate as the Bears' emergency third quarterback for Monday night's matchup against the Seahawks. |
| CHI | Jayden Loving | DT | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| CHI | Jordan McFadden | G | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| CHI | Jordan van den Berg | DT | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| CHI | Kyle Monangai | RB | Out | Thumb · inactive |
| CHI | Malik Muhammad II | CB | Out | Toe · Muhammad (toe) is inactive for Monday's game against the Seahawks. |
| MIN | Christian Darrisaw | OT | Questionable | Shoulder · questionable |
| MIN | Kyler Murray | QB | Questionable | Hamstring · Murray (hamstring), who is dealing with a sore hamstring, is undergoing a full evaluation to determine the extent of the issue, Alec Lewis of The Athletic reports. |
| MIN | Theo Jackson | S | Questionable | Quadriceps · Jackson (quadriceps) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Lions. |
On the Wire
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
AFC East: Bills 5-1. AFC North: Browns 5-2. AFC South: Jaguars 4-2. AFC West: Chiefs 5-1. NFC East: Giants 4-2-1. NFC North: Vikings 6-0. NFC South: Panthers 3-3. NFC West: 49ers 6-1. Unbeaten: Vikings. Winless: Chargers. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.