New England Patriots at Chicago Bears
Game data updated 2 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 7, 2026 · Friday, Oct 23, 12:15 AM · outdoors
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CHI | NE | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CHI 56% | 56% | 44% | CHI 1557 vs NE 1564, implied spread CHI −1.6 |
| Closing spread | CHI 54% | 54% | 46% | CHI -1.5 |
| The blend | CHI 55% | 55% | 45% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Chicago Bears over the Patriots: Elo 56%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine.
Details
- Rest: CHI 4 days, NE 4 days.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Friday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.