Leaderboard
17 games scored this season. Games you skip count as zero, so The System plays every one. Playoff games count double. Sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are scored on their closing numbers, so you can see whether anyone beats the market; a forecaster shows a dash until a game it priced has finished.
The System has +77.4; the closing line +78.2, Elo +45.3.
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| # | Player | Games | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Closing spread | 16 | +64.8 |
| 2 | Pure market (baba) | 16 | +64.8 |
| 3 | The blend | 16 | +63.3 |
| 4 | The System | 16 | +63.3 |
| 5 | Bold (baba) | 16 | +62.2 |
| 6 | Cautious (baba) | 16 | +61.5 |
| 7 | Elo (the model) | 16 | +33.3 |
| 8 | Pure Elo (baba) | 16 | +33.3 |
| 9 | Sportsbooks | — | +0.0 |
| 10 | Kalshi | — | +0.0 |
| 11 | Polymarket | — | +0.0 |
| 12 | The crowd | — | +0.0 |
| 13 | The sharp crowd | — | +0.0 |
| 14 | The bot crowd | — | +0.0 |
Our picks of the week
The lock is the game Elo and the market are most sure about together; the bold call is where they disagree most, on Elo's side.
| Week | Kind | Pick | Elo | Market | Result | Elo pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | Lock | SF vs ARI | 74% | 74% | Pending | — |
| Week 3 | Bold | MIA vs KC | 52% | 26% | Pending | — |
| Week 2 | Lock | BAL vs NO | 72% | 78% | Pending | — |
| Week 2 | Bold | MIA at SF | 33% | 11% | Pending | — |