Leaderboard
17 games scored this season. Games you skip count as zero, so Elo plays every one. Playoff games count double. Sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are scored on their closing numbers, so you can see whether anyone beats the market.
Elo has +45.3 points.
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| # | Player | Games | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The blend | 1 | +14.1 |
| 2 | The System | 1 | +14.1 |
| 3 | Closing spread | 1 | +13.4 |
| 4 | Elo (the model) | 1 | +12.0 |
Our picks of the week
The lock is the game Elo and the market are most sure about together; the bold call is where they disagree most, on Elo's side.
| Week | Kind | Pick | Elo | Market | Result | Elo pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | Lock | SF vs ARI | 74% | 74% | Pending | — |
| Week 3 | Bold | MIA vs KC | 52% | 26% | Pending | — |
| Week 2 | Lock | BAL vs NO | 72% | 78% | Pending | — |
| Week 2 | Bold | MIA at SF | 33% | 11% | Pending | — |